{"id":496,"date":"2005-01-21T11:57:47","date_gmt":"2005-01-21T10:57:47","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.gip-ecofor.org\/gicc\/?p=496"},"modified":"2018-11-21T12:02:30","modified_gmt":"2018-11-21T11:02:30","slug":"simulation-de-strategies-de-negociation-post-kyoto-dans-un-regime-climatique-international-fragmente","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/www.gip-ecofor.org\/gicc\/?p=496","title":{"rendered":"Simulation de strat\u00e9gies de n\u00e9gociation post-Kyoto dans un r\u00e9gime climatique international fragment\u00e9"},"content":{"rendered":"<h1 class=\"title\">Simulation de strat\u00e9gies de n\u00e9gociation post-Kyoto dans un r\u00e9gime climatique international fragment\u00e9<\/h1>\n<div class=\"tabs\"><\/div>\n<div id=\"node-282\" class=\"node odd full-node node-type-projet_de_recherche\">\n<div class=\"meta\"><\/div>\n<div id=\"content-middle\">\n<div class=\"block-wrapper odd\">\n<div id=\"block-attachment_block-attachment_bloc\" class=\"block block-attachment_block \">\n<div class=\"content\">\n<table id=\"table_piece_jointe\" class=\"sticky-enabled sticky-table\">\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<th>Fichier(s) attach\u00e9(s)<\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<ul>\n<li class=\"pdf\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.gip-ecofor.org\/doc\/drupal\/gicc\/1-05HaurieRFsynthese.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Rapport final r\u00e9sum\u00e9<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<ul>\n<li class=\"pdf\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.gip-ecofor.org\/doc\/drupal\/gicc\/1-05HaurieRF.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Rapport final <\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<ul>\n<li class=\"pdf\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.gip-ecofor.org\/doc\/drupal\/gicc\/1_Haurie2005.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Presentation du projet<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"content\">\n<p>Ce projet soutenu par le programme du GICC a consist\u00e9 \u00e0 utiliser de mani\u00e8re harmonis\u00e9e et coupl\u00e9e les mod\u00e8les \u00ab bottom-up \u00bb TIAM et \u00ab top-down \u00bb GEMINI-E3 pour construire un ensemble de sc\u00e9narios concernant les \u00e9volutions possibles des n\u00e9gociation climatiques post-2012. Une m\u00e9thodologie issue de la th\u00e9orie des jeux non-coop\u00e9ratifs, avec contraintes coupl\u00e9es sur les strat\u00e9gies des joueurs est mise en oeuvre pour caract\u00e9riser des accords internationaux stables, une fois d\u00e9termin\u00e9 un partage \u00e9quitable d\u2019un budget global d\u2019\u00e9missions de GES. Une autre approche, li\u00e9e \u00e0 la th\u00e9orie des jeux dits de Stackelberg (avec un meneur et un ensemble de suiveurs), e st utilis\u00e9e pour \u00e9tudier le pouvoir de l\u2019OPEP, dans le contexte d\u2019une politique climatique mondiale et la capacit\u00e9 de cette organisation \u00e0 contrecarrer cette politique. Enfin diff\u00e9rents \u00ab r\u00e9gimes fragment\u00e9s \u00bb impliquant des tempos diff\u00e9rents dans la mise en oeuvre de politiques de r\u00e9duction des \u00e9missions, pour diff\u00e9rents groupes de pays, sont analys\u00e9s \u00e0 partir de simulations r\u00e9alis\u00e9es \u00e0 partir du mod\u00e8le int\u00e9gr\u00e9 TIAM, avec des objectifs de stabilisation \u00e0 long terme du for\u00e7age radiatif \u00e0 3,5 W\/m2 ou \u00e0 3.75 W\/m2. Les mod\u00e8les mis en oeuvre, les techniques de r\u00e9solution des solutions des jeux non coop\u00e9ratifs, les sc\u00e9narios analys\u00e9s, correspondent \u00e0 l\u2019ensembles de \u00ab livrables \u00bb annonc\u00e9s dans la d\u00e9finition du projet.<\/p>\n<div><strong>Le didactitiel disponible \u00e0 l\u2019adresse <a href=\"http:\/\/dokeos.ordecsys.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">http:\/\/dokeos.ordecsys.com<\/a> (login : gicc pwd : kanlo)<\/strong><\/div>\n<div>Il permet d\u2019avoir acc\u00e8s \u00e0 toute l\u2019information concernant les mod\u00e8les utilis\u00e9s et les sc\u00e9narios analys\u00e9s.<\/div>\n<div class=\"field field-type-textfield-field-coordination-apr\">\n<table>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"field-label\">Coordinateur(s)<\/td>\n<td class=\"field-content\">\n<div class=\"field-item odd\">\n<p><a href=\"mailto:ahaurie@ordecsys.com\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Alain Haurie<\/a> Dr., Professeur honoraire Universit\u00e9 de Gen\u00e8ve, Directeur, ORDECSYS<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"field field-type-textfield-field-partenaire-apr\">\n<table>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"field-label\">Partenaire(s)<\/td>\n<td class=\"field-content\">\n<div class=\"field-item odd\">\n<p>KANLO<br \/>\nORDECSYS<br \/>\nCEA<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"field field-type-textfield-field-financeur-apr\">\n<table>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"field-label\">Financeur(s)<\/td>\n<td class=\"field-content\">\n<div class=\"field-item odd\">MEEDDM<\/div>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"field field-type-textfield-field-budget-apr\">\n<table>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"field-label\">Budget<\/td>\n<td class=\"field-content\">\n<div class=\"field-item odd\">120 000 \u20ac TTC<\/div>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Simulation de strat\u00e9gies de n\u00e9gociation post-Kyoto dans un r\u00e9gime climatique international fragment\u00e9 Fichier(s) attach\u00e9(s) Rapport final r\u00e9sum\u00e9 Rapport final Presentation du projet Ce projet soutenu par le programme du GICC a consist\u00e9 \u00e0 utiliser&#46;&#46;&#46;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[19,39,90],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-496","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-apr","category-apr-2005","category-les-projets-retenus-fr-apr-2005"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.gip-ecofor.org\/gicc\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/496","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.gip-ecofor.org\/gicc\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.gip-ecofor.org\/gicc\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.gip-ecofor.org\/gicc\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.gip-ecofor.org\/gicc\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=496"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"http:\/\/www.gip-ecofor.org\/gicc\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/496\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":497,"href":"http:\/\/www.gip-ecofor.org\/gicc\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/496\/revisions\/497"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.gip-ecofor.org\/gicc\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=496"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.gip-ecofor.org\/gicc\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=496"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.gip-ecofor.org\/gicc\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=496"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}