{"id":504,"date":"2005-01-21T12:06:13","date_gmt":"2005-01-21T11:06:13","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.gip-ecofor.org\/gicc\/?p=504"},"modified":"2021-10-21T16:05:48","modified_gmt":"2021-10-21T14:05:48","slug":"reponses-des-populations-de-vertebres-aux-changements-climatiques-parametrage-et-premieres-applications-de-modeles-predictifs-bases-sur-les-processus-demographiques","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/www.gip-ecofor.org\/gicc\/?p=504","title":{"rendered":"R\u00e9ponses des populations de Vert\u00e9br\u00e9s aux changements climatiques &#8211; param\u00e9trage et premi\u00e8res applications de mod\u00e8les pr\u00e9dictifs bas\u00e9s sur les processus d\u00e9mographiques"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"node-287\" class=\"node odd full-node node-type-projet_de_recherche\">\n<div id=\"content-middle\">\n<div class=\"block-wrapper odd\">\n<div id=\"block-attachment_block-attachment_bloc\" class=\"block block-attachment_block \">\n<div class=\"content\">\n<table id=\"table_piece_jointe\" class=\"sticky-enabled sticky-table\">\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<th>Fichier(s) attach\u00e9(s)<\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<ul>\n<li class=\"pdf\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.gip-ecofor.org\/gicc\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/10\/RF_ReponsePopVertebres_2005.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Rapport final <\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<ul>\n<li class=\"pdf\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.gip-ecofor.org\/gicc\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/10\/Pres_ReponsePopVertebres_2005.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Pr\u00e9sentation du projet &#8211; PPT<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"content\">\n<p>Notre travail s\u2019est appuy\u00e9e sur un r\u00e9seau (CLIM-PIOP) de populations de vert\u00e9br\u00e9s intensivement suivies et a vis\u00e9 \u00e0 r\u00e9pondre \u00e0 quatre objectifs principaux: identifier et quantifier les impacts des facteurs climatiques sur les param\u00e8tres d\u00e9mographiques, \u00e9tudier la sensibilit\u00e9 du taux de croissance des populations aux changements de moyenne et de variance des param\u00e8tres d\u00e9mographiques, identifier la forme et quantifier l\u2019impact de la r\u00e9ponse des param\u00e8tres d\u00e9mographiques aux facteurs climatiques, et quantifier le r\u00f4le des co-variations entre param\u00e8tres d\u00e9mographiques g\u00e9n\u00e9r\u00e9es par les facteurs climatiques.<\/p>\n<div>Ces objectifs se sont tous inscrits dans un ensemble de recherches d\u00e9finies selon trois axes. L\u2019axe m\u00e9thodologique nous a permis de d\u00e9finir et de d\u00e9velopper une panoplie d\u2019outils analytiques performants pour r\u00e9pondre \u00e0 ces objectifs. Un axe d\u2019analyse d\u2019\u00e9tudes de cas nous a permis d\u2019identifier un ensemble de patrons de variation d\u00e9mographique \u00e0 partir de populations de plusieurs esp\u00e8ces de vert\u00e9br\u00e9s. Enfin, un axe d\u2019analyse int\u00e9gr\u00e9e de l\u2019impact des variations climatiques sur la d\u00e9mographie et la dynamique des populations de vert\u00e9br\u00e9s a \u00e9t\u00e9 \u00e9bauch\u00e9 afin de rendre explicitement compte des m\u00e9canismes d\u00e9mographiques \u00e0 travers lesquels la dynamique d\u2019une population de vert\u00e9br\u00e9s est influenc\u00e9e pas les variations climatiques. De nombreux r\u00e9sultats ont d\u00e9j\u00e0 \u00e9t\u00e9 acquis et ont donn\u00e9 lieu \u00e0 la publication de plus de vingt-cinq articles scientifiques. Ce programme nous a de plus permis d\u2019organiser un atelier de travail (colloque de restitution du projet) et de d\u00e9velopper ainsi un important r\u00e9seau de recherche au niveau international.<\/div>\n<div class=\"field field-type-textfield-field-coordination-apr\">\n<table>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"field-label\">Coordinateur(s)<\/td>\n<td class=\"field-content\">\n<div class=\"field-item odd\">\n<p><a href=\"mailto:Bgaillard@biomserv.univ-lyon1.fr\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Jean-Michel Gaillard<\/a>, Directeur de Recherche au CNRS &#8211; Laboratoire de \u00ab Biom\u00e9trie et Biologie Evolutive \u00bb, UMR 5558<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"field field-type-textfield-field-partenaire-apr\">\n<table>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"field-label\">Partenaire(s)<\/td>\n<td class=\"field-content\">\n<div class=\"field-item odd\">\n<p>CEB Chiz\u00e9, CNRS UPR 1934<br \/>\nSation Biologique de Moulis<br \/>\nLaboratoire d&rsquo;Ecologie, CNRS Universite Pierre et Marie Curie<br \/>\nCEFE\/CNRS<br \/>\nLaboratoire de Parasitologie Evolutive, CNRS UPMC<br \/>\nBiom\u00e9trie et Biologie des populations, CEFE\/CNRS<br \/>\nBiom\u00e9trie et Biologie Evolutive, Universit\u00e9 Claude Bernard Lyon 1<br \/>\nUniversity of Oslo, NO-0316 Oslo, Norv\u00e8geUniversity of Trondheim, Norv\u00e8ge<br \/>\nUniversity of Tromso, Norv\u00e8ge<br \/>\nImperial College, Grande Bretagne<br \/>\nInstitute of Ecology, Heteren, Pays-Bas<br \/>\nUniversity of Aberdeen, Ecosse<br \/>\nCEH Banchory, Ecosse<br \/>\nUniversity of St Andrews, Ecosse<br \/>\nUniversity santa Cruz, California, USA<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"field field-type-textfield-field-financeur-apr\">\n<table>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"field-label\">Financeur(s)<\/td>\n<td class=\"field-content\">\n<div class=\"field-item odd\">MEEDDM<\/div>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Fichier(s) attach\u00e9(s) Rapport final Pr\u00e9sentation du projet &#8211; PPT Notre travail s\u2019est appuy\u00e9e sur un r\u00e9seau (CLIM-PIOP) de populations de vert\u00e9br\u00e9s intensivement suivies et a vis\u00e9 \u00e0 r\u00e9pondre \u00e0 quatre objectifs principaux: identifier et&#46;&#46;&#46;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[19,39,90],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-504","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-apr","category-apr-2005","category-les-projets-retenus-fr-apr-2005"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.gip-ecofor.org\/gicc\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/504","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.gip-ecofor.org\/gicc\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.gip-ecofor.org\/gicc\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.gip-ecofor.org\/gicc\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.gip-ecofor.org\/gicc\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=504"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"http:\/\/www.gip-ecofor.org\/gicc\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/504\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1070,"href":"http:\/\/www.gip-ecofor.org\/gicc\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/504\/revisions\/1070"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.gip-ecofor.org\/gicc\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=504"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.gip-ecofor.org\/gicc\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=504"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.gip-ecofor.org\/gicc\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=504"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}