{"id":614,"date":"2000-01-21T13:07:46","date_gmt":"2000-01-21T12:07:46","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.gip-ecofor.org\/gicc\/?p=614"},"modified":"2018-11-21T13:08:04","modified_gmt":"2018-11-21T12:08:04","slug":"la-mortalite-selon-le-contexte-thermique-realite-presente-et-scenarios-pour-le-xxieme-siecle-lexemple-de-la-france","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/www.gip-ecofor.org\/gicc\/?p=614","title":{"rendered":"La mortalit\u00e9 selon le contexte thermique : r\u00e9alit\u00e9 pr\u00e9sente et sc\u00e9narios pour le XXI\u00e8me si\u00e8cle. L&rsquo;exemple de la France"},"content":{"rendered":"<h1 class=\"title\">La mortalit\u00e9 selon le contexte thermique : r\u00e9alit\u00e9 pr\u00e9sente et sc\u00e9narios pour le XXI\u00e8me si\u00e8cle. L&rsquo;exemple de la France<\/h1>\n<div class=\"tabs\"><\/div>\n<div id=\"node-162\" class=\"node odd full-node node-type-projet_de_recherche\">\n<div class=\"meta\"><\/div>\n<div id=\"content-middle\">\n<div class=\"block-wrapper odd\">\n<div id=\"block-attachment_block-attachment_bloc\" class=\"block block-attachment_block \">\n<div class=\"content\">\n<table id=\"table_piece_jointe\" class=\"sticky-enabled sticky-table\">\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<th>Fichier(s) attach\u00e9(s)<\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<ul>\n<li class=\"pdf\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.gip-ecofor.org\/doc\/drupal\/gicc\/9-00BesancenotResumeRF.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Rapport final r\u00e9sum\u00e9<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<ul>\n<li class=\"pdf\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.gip-ecofor.org\/doc\/drupal\/gicc\/9-00BesancenotRF.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Rapport final <\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"content\">\n<p>Cette \u00e9tude a pour objectif d&rsquo;\u00e9valuer l&rsquo;impact possible du r\u00e9chauffement climatique sur la mortalit\u00e9 par cause au XXI\u00e8me si\u00e8cle, \u00e0 partir de l&rsquo;exemple de la France. Dans un premier temps, on b\u00e2tira pour chacune des r\u00e9gions une base de donn\u00e9es qui mettra les temp\u00e9ratures moyennes, minimales et maximales de chaque jour en relation avec les d\u00e9c\u00e8s quotidiens (regroup\u00e9s par sexe et par \u00e2ge, pour une liste r\u00e9duite de causes de d\u00e9c\u00e8s, maladies respiratoires et cardiovasculaires en particulier).<br \/>\nLa p\u00e9riode consid\u00e9r\u00e9e couvrira les ann\u00e9es 1968-1996 (ou 1997, voire 1998, si les donn\u00e9es sont accessibles au moment du d\u00e9marrage du projet). Dans un deuxi\u00e8me temps, on \u00e9laborera un mod\u00e8le liant le nombre (actuel) des d\u00e9c\u00e8s aux temp\u00e9ratures. Dans un troisi\u00e8me temps, on utilisera les projections d&rsquo;impact du r\u00e9chauffement climatique sur les temp\u00e9ratures quotidiennes pour r\u00e9aliser une pr\u00e9vision de l&rsquo;\u00e9volution de la mortalit\u00e9, pour la p\u00e9riode 2000-2050, selon les diff\u00e9rents sc\u00e9narios reconnus par les sp\u00e9cialistes comme \u00e9tant les plus plausibles.<\/p>\n<div class=\"field field-type-textfield-field-coordination-apr\">\n<table>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"field-label\">Coordinateur(s)<\/td>\n<td class=\"field-content\">\n<div class=\"field-item odd\">\n<p><a href=\"mailto:jean-pierre.besancenot@u-bourgogne.fr\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Jean-Pierre Besancenot<\/a>, Universit\u00e9 de Bourgogne &#8211; Facult\u00e9 de M\u00e9decine &#8211; Climat et Sant\u00e9<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"field field-type-textfield-field-partenaire-apr\">\n<table>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"field-label\">Partenaire(s)<\/td>\n<td class=\"field-content\">\n<div class=\"field-item odd\">\n<p>Universit\u00e9 P &amp; M Curie &#8211; Laboratoire de M\u00e9t\u00e9orologie Dynamique<br \/>\nObservatoire R\u00e9gional de la Sant\u00e9 de Champagne-Ardennes<br \/>\nUniversit\u00e9 Montpellier 3 &#8211; Atelier de G\u00e9ographie de la Sant\u00e9<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"field field-type-textfield-field-financeur-apr\">\n<table>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"field-label\">Financeur(s)<\/td>\n<td class=\"field-content\">\n<div class=\"field-item odd\">MEDD<\/div>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"field field-type-textfield-field-budget-apr\">\n<table>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"field-label\">Budget<\/td>\n<td class=\"field-content\">\n<div class=\"field-item odd\">45 734.71 \u20ac TTC<\/div>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>La mortalit\u00e9 selon le contexte thermique : r\u00e9alit\u00e9 pr\u00e9sente et sc\u00e9narios pour le XXI\u00e8me si\u00e8cle. L&rsquo;exemple de la France Fichier(s) attach\u00e9(s) Rapport final r\u00e9sum\u00e9 Rapport final Cette \u00e9tude a pour objectif d&rsquo;\u00e9valuer l&rsquo;impact possible&#46;&#46;&#46;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[19,31,100],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-614","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-apr","category-apr-2000","category-les-projets-retenus-fr-apr-2000"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.gip-ecofor.org\/gicc\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/614","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.gip-ecofor.org\/gicc\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.gip-ecofor.org\/gicc\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.gip-ecofor.org\/gicc\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.gip-ecofor.org\/gicc\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=614"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"http:\/\/www.gip-ecofor.org\/gicc\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/614\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":615,"href":"http:\/\/www.gip-ecofor.org\/gicc\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/614\/revisions\/615"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.gip-ecofor.org\/gicc\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=614"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.gip-ecofor.org\/gicc\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=614"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.gip-ecofor.org\/gicc\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=614"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}